Forecasting Tournament
Join us for an intercollegiate forecasting tournament on March 15! We have a $2,000+ prize pool!
This March 15, we will host our inaugural intercollegiate forecasting tournament, bringing together top college students from across New England and the Mid-Atlantic to compete for cash prizes. Hosted on Brown’s campus through the Metaculus platform, the event will feature a fast-paced 30-minute speed round followed by a rigorous three-hour forecasting challenge. Participants will sharpen their forecasting abilities through mathematical modeling, base-rate development, and intuitive reasoning. Compete for a chance at a $2,000+ prize pool and potential interview opportunities at top firms!
No prior experience is required!
Tournament Schedule
- 11-11:30 am: Start and intro
- 11:30-12 pm: Speed round
- 12-1 pm: Lunch
- 1-4 pm: Forecasting period
- 4-5 pm: Closing
Food will be provided!
FAQ
How does the tournament work?
During the tournament, teams will make predictions on a variety of real-world events by giving probabilities. Then a few months later, we resolve the questions and the teams that predicted events most accurately will win prizes!
Do I need prior experience?
No! Anyone is welcome, even if they have not forecasted before. All you need is the ability to think critically about the future and make predictions.
What are examples of questions?
Here are some questions we've forecasted at club meetings in the past. You can expect tournament questions to be similar, but more broadly applicable.- How many upvotes will the "Top" Sidechat post of the week on Brown have by 5 pm on 11/19?
- What are the odds of an article reporting on organized student response to election outcome (negative or positive) in the Brown Daily Herald (by next meeting)?
- Will Kelly Ayotte win the New Hampshire gubernatorial election?
- Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 election?
- What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
- What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
- What is the probability that Donald Trump will accept the CNN presidential debate invitation for October 23 between now and next meeting (10/10)?
- Probability of any police being called to end a student protest by OCT 24th
- Probability APMA 1650 (Amelia Culiuc) exam results gets released by 10/24?
- Probability that CPax sends an email from president@brown.edu by the next meeting (10/24)?
- What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24?
- What is the probability that the Brown Daily Herald (BDH) will report on student response to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (either negative or positive) by 2:00 PM EST on 11/7?
- What will Pennsylvania's voter turnout percentage be for the 2024 presidential election?
- See more under the Brown Forecasting tag on Metaculus