Brown Forecasting Club

March 15 — Intercollegiate Forecasting Tournament
$2,000+ prize pool + potential interviews at top firms

More info here!

Our Sponsors

Metaculus Logo
Optic Logo
Kalshi Logo
Bridgewater Logo
Manifold Logo        MANIFOLD

Examples of Past Questions We've Forecasted

  • How many upvotes will the "Top" Sidechat post of the week on Brown have by 5 pm on 11/19?
  • What are the odds of an article reporting on organized student response to election outcome (negative or positive) in the Brown Daily Herald (by next meeting)?
  • Will Kelly Ayotte win the New Hampshire gubernatorial election?
  • Will there be any attempted faithless electors in the 2024 election?
  • Show more questions
  • What is the probability that the weather in Warwick, RI will fall below 43 degrees F at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
  • What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)?
  • What is the probability that Donald Trump will accept the CNN presidential debate invitation for October 23 between now and next meeting (10/10)?
  • Probability of any police being called to end a student protest by OCT 24th
  • Probability APMA 1650 (Amelia Culiuc) exam results gets released by 10/24?
  • Probability that CPax sends an email from president@brown.edu by the next meeting (10/24)?
  • What is the probability that a Westbound Amtrak Sunset Limited train reports a delay of more than 4 hours upon arriving at its terminus before the 10:00 AM on 10/24?
  • What is the probability that the Brown Daily Herald (BDH) will report on student response to the outcome of the 2024 presidential election (either negative or positive) by 2:00 PM EST on 11/7?
  • What will Pennsylvania's voter turnout percentage be for the 2024 presidential election?
  • See more under the Brown Forecasting tag on Metaculus